CLM-0002 — شهر (month) occurs 12 times
COUNTING_RULE_DEPENDENT Audit report · deterministic reproduction
1 · Claim as commonly stated
The word شهر in the singular occurs exactly 12 times in the Qur'an, matching the months of the year.
Source note: Circulates alongside CLM-0001 in the same literature; earliest precise source not verified.
2 · Reproduction method
Declared counting-rule matrix, executed against corpus quran:hafs-kufan:v1. Full rules, counts, and sample locations: EXP-0003.
3 · Result
Reproduced exactly under the same declared rule as CLM-0001 (surface-clitic-stripped-singular) = 12, composed of شهر 4, الشهر 4, شهرا 2, بالشهر 1, والشهر 1. Three other declared rules give 4, 10, and 21 (the root rule also gives 21, including plurals أشهر/شهور and dual شهرين).
4 · Sensitivity to counting rules
COUNTING_RULE_DEPENDENT — holds under one of five declared rules; the rule is the same one that reproduces CLM-0001, which is the pair's strongest property.
5 · Statistical context
STATISTICALLY_UNASSESSED — same reasoning as CLM-0001, including the surrogate non-applicability note (frequency-preserving surrogates cannot test count equalities); additionally, small targets like 12 are hit by many possible sub-family counts, making unmodeled surprise even weaker.
6 · Best argument in favor
The identical symmetric rule reproduces both companion figures (365 and 12) with no per-claim tuning.
7 · Strongest objection
A pair of rule-dependent counts is still rule-dependent; without a preregistered rule and a null model, symmetry is suggestive at most and probative of nothing.
8 · All recorded objections
- Same rule-space freedom as CLM-0001.
- With counts this small, several natural sub-families of شهر forms land on or near 12; the specific composition (including بالشهر and والشهر but excluding شهرين) is one defensible choice among several.
- Dataset dependence: lemma/root counts include derived forms whose inclusion is a judgment call the popular claim never specifies.
9 · Final status
COUNTING_RULE_DEPENDENT
10 · Public summary
The 12 count is real under the same declared singular-unsuffixed rule that yields 365 for يوم, and false under the other natural rules tested (4, 10, 21). The registry records exactly which five word-forms make up the 12, and why no conclusion beyond rule-dependence is warranted.
11 · Reproduce it yourself
python3 services/research-worker/scripts/run_experiment.py data/research/specs/EXP-0003.json — the registry entry lives in data/research/claims.json; the result files record input checksums and environment.
